Day 511 Thursday June 14, 2018 1,067 Days to Go
Are you a betting person? Do you play the odds or are you more inclined to go for the long shot?
I was in an island in the Bahamas once. There was a news broadcast about a bank being robbed. The report finished with the comment that the rate of arrest for bank robbery was 100%. Those are not good odds. And so we get to Donald Trump and one has to ask, “What are the odds?” Odds of what?
Let’s try a few questions:
If you are seventy years old and have never successfully run a public company what are the odds that you will? Especially, if you’ve already failed at it?
If in business negotiations you’ve always caved right from the beginning, what are the odds that you will change?
If you are easily persuaded by flattery and false reports that you like, what are the odds that truth, reality, and sober reflection will suddenly take hold of your decision making process?
But let’s give Donald his due. He has managed throughout his life to slide by on bluster and lies, will it work for him in his presidency? So far it has. Nothing else has worked with North Korea, so maybe this will work. But what are the chances? Given North Korea’s behavior in the past, it has broken every agreement it has made, then I’d say the odds are pretty good that it will do so in the future. Of course, given that Donald gave them everything they wanted and that they are claiming more than that and we have no way of verifying any of it; I’d say the odds ore good that nothing positive will come of this.
The con that Trump has pulled for years has the same effect on whomever is being conned:
“He must know something” (that we don’t),
“He’s a businessman” (and therefore knows how to run a business, an economy, etc).
He used the same sales job and techniques to run for president that he used to sell his phony university.
When caught on the university scam he used the tactics of destroying evidence, having lawyers threaten to sue people, using lawyers and thugs (or lawyers acting as thugs) to intimidate people, and he bribed people to not bring charges and or to keep silent.
He is trying the same tactics as president. He is pushing a narrative that is a complete lie and there are those that believe it.
You can fool some of the people all of the time.
That number seems to be around 37% plus or minus two percent.
1,067 Days to Go
PS A total eclipse of the sun
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