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Rick Kinnaird

Archives for June 2020

Day 1235 – Empires Come, Empires Go

June 6, 2020 by Rick Kinnaird Leave a Comment

Yaxchilan Structure 40

Saturday June 6, 2020 

148 Days until the election on November 3rd

228 Days until the Inauguration on January 20, 2021

I remember this comic from the Ed Sullivan Show*. He said he was a school teacher in the New York City school system. He complained that the students today were not like in the old days. One example he gave was a student’s response to the question: “Why did the Roman Empire fall?” The student’s answer was “The Roman Empire fell because of carelessness.” 

The comic’s complaint was “How can you mark that wrong?” 

Another view of the fall of the Roman Empire holds that it’s not that it fell, but that it took so long.

What causes an empire to fall? What causes a civilization to disappear? A religion? A democracy?

Many historians, I am told, consider democracy a transitional period. Most democracies don’t last more than two to three hundred years. 

Why? What happens?

Carelessness.

I recently heard a scholar on Rome speak. He said he used to get questions about the fall of the empire, but more recently he’s been asked about the fall of the Roman Republic. One thing he noted was that the people who were alive at the time of the fall of the Roman Republic didn’t believe it would fall. Why? Because it had always been there. At least, in their lifetimes it had always been there.

When Constantinople fell to the Turks it is said the shock reverberated throughout the Christian world. Why? Constantinople had always been there. No one thought it would go away. Why did it fall?

Carelessness.

But what do I mean by carelessness? 

A failure to comprehend. 

Elon Musk made a great point during the run up to the launch of his SpaceX rocket. He said that progress doesn’t just happen. It is caused by people being focused on an objective. 

Why did Notre Dame burn? Short answer is that there was no fire suppression system. Why wasn’t there one? It hadn’t needed it for over 700 years; there was no reason to believe “today was the day” (that they would need one?)

A failure to comprehend.

Trump and his antics and followers have been compared to Hitler. This week unidentified Federal agents were arrayed in Washington DC. They wore no identification. This was on purpose. Why? How can we even be sure they are Federal agents? Who sent them? 

A leaked memo suggests that they were pulled from all sorts of Federal agencies that have some type of police force, such as the Federal Corrections Bureau. 

These unidentified men stood in front of the Lincoln Memorial and other Federal properties in Washington DC. It reminded me of Hitler’s Brown Shirts. His group of thugs that he kept close to him during his rise to power.

To be clear the Federal government is responsible for the Federal buildings and the property they sit on. However, Washington DC is responsible for and owns the streets. That is why the mayor’s action to rename part of 16th Street “Black Lives Matter” and have it inscribed on the road in big yellow block letters pointing right at the White House is so great.

( I have to wonder who believes William Barr’s explanation as to why he had Lafayette Square cleared. It was to set up a one block perimeter around the White House and had nothing to do with the president coming out for a photo op, just a coincidence. – Yeah, right. )

Some have likened the actions of Trump, his supporters and collaborators to the Vichy government in France or to Hitler and his Brown Shirts. There are reasons to collaborate, and many excuses why one does it. Read Anne Applebaum’s excellent piece in the Atlantic for a full description – “History will Judge the Complicit” https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2020/07/trumps-collaborators/612250/

History is not on the side of democracy or on the side of a political organization surviving forever. They all fall. When they fall, many do not see it coming. 

I am struck by a comment that someone said when looking at the opulence of the Loire Valley chateaux, “Why did it take so long?” (for it to fall?) When the gap between rich and poor becomes so large, something gives. Eventually, it is the rich, the powerful, the entitled that are swept away and a new order is established. 

148 Days until the election on November 3rd

228 Days until the Inauguration on January 20, 2021

PS Yaxchilan – Structure 40

Filed Under: Uncategorized

Day 1234 – Pandemic? What Pandemic?

June 5, 2020 by Rick Kinnaird 1 Comment

Friday June 5, 2020 

149 Days until the election on November 3rd

229 Days until the Inauguration on January 20, 2021

You know the pandemic was so yesterday. Now we are marching in the streets because a black man got killed. This killing was especially obvious. It was so obvious that the Republican senators almost made a public statement about it and Trump’s reaction. They scuttled like little crabs trying to avoid the sunlight (okay, it’s an analogy and it suffers. Got it.) None of the Senators seemed to have read or seen or known what Trump had done. They did seem vaguely aware that a black man had been killed. Lisa Murkowski took the bold step of publicly saying that she thought that maybe they ought to think about doing something like saying something about what they were thinking about. The others? Blackburn had a phone call. Portman had read anything. Mitch didn’t speak. Another said he was late to lunch. Another said China. This is the kind of leadership we’ve come to expect from the Republicans in the Senate.

Fat Boy

And we are depending on them to stop Trump?

The streets of DC had men in tactical gear: hard helmets that looked like super duper bike helmets, big fat vests, sunglasses, that kind of stuff. Who they were, or what they were doing there was unclear. What was clear was that they wore no identification and would not say who sent them. I hope someone was smart enough to take their pictures and put them up on Facebook so that they could possibly be identified. This is what we have come to.

By the way, where are the Second Amendment guys? You know those guys who like to parade around with their AR-15s? Why aren’t they out in the streets protecting their rights? Seems like when someone shows up who actually might be able to use a weapon and is in shape these 2nd Ammenders are no where to be found.

Meanwhile, the number of Covid cases are on the rise in states across the country. Yeah, doesn’t the virus know it’s fifteen seconds of press coverage is over? That was last week.

Then there’s the mail in ballot and voting rights. Oh boy, do we have to go over this? Well, yeah. Seems there some new wrinkles on this peach. The corona virus has been shown to effect older people a lot. Turns our most poll workers are older people. Seems those people don’t want to work to die. Hey, why not invoke the War Posers Act and force them to work? What? Oh. You don’t want people to vote? Just your people? Not the other people? Got it. What? Yes, I know; isotopes in the ballots, change the vote. Yeah. Got it. 

Rocket Man

Okay the real issue is the Republican party thinks that they will lose if people vote. I have heard that higher turn outs favor Democrats. This has translated into mail-in ballots are bad for Republicans, but in fact, there is no evidence that mail-in ballots favor one party over the other. This hasn’t stopped the Republicans from doing whatever they can to stop mail-in voting. You know it’s ripe with fraud? No, I didn’t. Did you know that in Oregon out of over two million ballots there were a little over 50 that were suspicious? Yeah. Many of those were attributed to people moving and getting their ballot from the old place – stuff like that. There was, as far as I know, not one confirmed case of fraud. This hasn’t stopped the folks at Fox from warning of its dangers. I guess that’s because the only real example of voter fraud recently was a race in North Carolina where it was the Republican who had people cheating for him. But there it wasn’t fraud in the sense of someone trying to pretend who they weren’t; it was what is known as “ballot harvesting,” a practice Devin Nunes approves of btw. Ballot harvesting is the practice of picking up a ballot from someone and delivering it to a place to be counted. This is illegal in 49 of the 50 states; California being the exception, hence Nunes’ desire for it. (Otherwise Nunes claims he will lose.)

Then you’ve got Fox and all the stuff about fraud and mail-in ballots. John Oliver went through all the steps you’d have to go do in order to submit one fraudulent ballot. They included knowing the birthdate of the deceased, having records like a driver’s license, etc. After doing all that you could submit a ballot. If you got caught you’d face jail time. Apparently, no one wants to go to the hassle and face jail time. This is something that eludes the folks at Fox. 

Will there be justice for George Floyd and all the George Floyds? Maybe this time. Maybe this time?

Meanwhile, the virus is still out there. It’s lurking. It’s waiting.

PS Rocket Man and Fat Boy

Filed Under: Trump

Day 1232 – June 1st A Day of Infamy and the Infantile Terrible

June 5, 2020 by Rick Kinnaird 2 Comments

Wedensday June 3, 2020 

"The Truth"  Imperial IPA label
The Truth

151 Days until the election on November 3rd

231 Days until the Inauguration on January 20, 2021

I’m running a few days behind on my screeds. It happens. However, June 1, 2020 is a day historically that will probably be remembered like no other in American history. It is the day that a President of the United States of America declared he was ordering an active duty combat brigade to be deployed against the American people in their homeland. He said he was doing this in part to “protect our Second Amendment rights.” He also told the governors on a phone call that was supposed to be with the Vice President that he wanted to see more arrests. He also announced that he was putting the head of The Joint Chiefs of Staff “in charge.” He also said he was activating The Attorney General “very strongly.” The head of the Joint Chiefs of Staff of The Pentagon showed up at the White House in battle fatigues. The Attorney General ordered the clearing of Lafayette Park of peaceful demonstrators and this was done with tear gas and flash grenades. After the park was cleared the president flanked by various members of the White House staff, the head of The Joint Chiefs in his battle fatigues, the Secretary of Defense, and the Attorney General stood in front of St. John’s Episcopal Church for a photograph. The rector of the church was not notified, nor was the bishop or anyone else within the church that this was going to happen. The Secretary of Defense who is serving in an acting role having never been confirmed by the Senate said that the streets of our country were “the new battle space,” and that we needed to get back to “the right normal.”

The above are the facts. These are not open to debate. There are not questions of any kind about the above. They are facts. Anyone can look them up. It is what was said and done, and videos taken show this to be so. This is not someone’s delusional dream or demented reality. This is what was said and done.

If you want to speculate as to what this means, by all means, but those are the facts.

Tom Cotton welcomes it. Rachel Maddow wonders what the Joint Chief is in charge of and speculated that perhaps the AG was some kind of glow in the dark doll that was activated by being held close to a bright light. Historically, this is the first time that a president has threatened to use the military against the nation. Yes, there have be specific instances in specific places that Federal troops have been deployed, but never in the nation as a whole. 

In order for the president to be able to pull this off he would need to invoke The Sedition Act of 1807. Naturally, no one knows if he has done this. There are specific things the president would have to do to invoke this act but why worry about petty details? Just call up the army, and that is what he did. It was pointed out that he called them up to show up in DC with live ammo and fixed bayonets. Why not? I mean at Kent State after those kids were shot you couldn’t really tell if they were dead or not. They were just lying on the ground unmoving. But if the public should watch a livestream of someone being gored up close and personal with a bayonet, well, then you’ve got something.

It was said that the reason Trump called the military to DC was that he wouldn’t need any governor’s approval. True dat. However, if you know anything about DC you know that the streets belong to the District, while the various malls and government buildings belong to the Fed. That’s why the T-shirt vendors and food trucks are parked on the street and not on the Mall. Seems to me, you’d at least need a parade permit. Whoops, there I go again with the rules. Silly me.

It reminded me of a historical account of the Etruscans. They fought with Rome for over five hundred years before finally being suppressed and made citizens of Rome.  At one point the Etruscans had been defeated in  battle and had been marched to the Forum where they were held captive. At the time there was consternation in Rome. Some folks were a bit restless and protesting what was going on. Many Romans were gathered for an event when the order was given to slaughter the Etruscans. Those gathered elsewhere could hear the cries and screams. Any questions?

Trump seems to know little, except for one area, authoritarians. He had the speeches of Mussolini at his bedside. He quoted this week from a well known Klan member. He and his sons and Stephen Miller all seem to know a lot about the right wing signs, symbols and quotes. They show no reluctance to use them. That is until they are called out and then they feign ignorance. 

More and more I see mimes and articles comparing Trump to Hitler. At it’s most innocent it is just odd coincidence. At it’s darkest this is where he wants to take the country.

He has managed over and over again to surprise and outrage us. Many speculate that he will not go quietly from the White House. He careens wildly from day to hour. However, the one constant that all seem to agree on is that he is in it for himself. 

PS Truth is where you find it (?)

Filed Under: Trump

Day 1231 – Alexander Botts and Evil

June 4, 2020 by Rick Kinnaird Leave a Comment

Day 1231 – Alexander Botts and Evil

Tuesday June 2, 2020 

152 Days until the election on November 3rd

232 Days until the Inauguration on January 20, 2021

Alexander Botts was a salesman who worked for The Earthworm Tractor Factory. He sent reports back to the home office. Everything sounded very formal bureacratic phrasing, but as you read on you realized that Botts created huge problems for himself and others. He never saw it that way. They were merely the facts of what went on and he then explained how he dealt with whatever came up. 

These were humorous stories written in the 1920s and 30s. I guess you could call Botts a clueless good natured positivity person.

Linga Mania

But what if he wasn’t? What if he saw nothing wrong in doing bad things? Not that he would be aware they were bad, but he had a predilection to doing bad things, what then? What if he saw the world, not through the sort of rose colored glasses that he filled his reports with, but instead supposed the world was full of people out to get him and what he had done. What if he imagined vast dark conspiracies where there were none? What if he thought he was really smart, when in fact he was not? What if he felt he could only trust himself and maybe a few close family members – all of whom either shared his world view or at least played up to his thoughts about the world?

What if Botts not only saw most people as out to get him and he lashed out at them with crazy non-facts and conspiracy accusations? What if he found others to believe as he did? 

Do you see where I’m going with this? (No, then you’re probably a Fox News/Donald Trump devotee.) 

Some pretty wild stuff is being talked about. It started for me with the running argument I had with my right wing friend and her pals. This guy, whom I didn’t know, felt it a good idea to interject himself in the Facebook conversation by insulting me indirectly with comments like “Who is this turd?” Nice stuff. He eventually explained to me why he was against mail in ballots. It turns out he said that the Democrats could insert isotopes into the ballots that could be read and flip a Republican vote to a Democratic vote. 

Somehow I had missed this reason for not letting millions of people vote by mail. I asked him to let me know more. Maybe he can find some of these ballots. Wouldn’t that be cool? I also asked my friend to let me know what he finds out. She assured me she would. Great! 

It occurred to me that those on the right accuse those on the left of the very things they themselves are doing. This is an old trick and is often illustrated by quotes from Hitler about such things. Hillary Clinton said what? Three decades ago? That there was “a vast right wing conspiracy.” She was mocked by that very group of cabals for saying it. She was entirely correct.  I realized this morning that there is no such apparatus on the left. I mean the right loves to accuse George Soros of all sorts of unspeakable ills, but he’s one guy who has given money to more liberal causes than these folks on the right who are highly organized and have figured out all kinds of shady ways to give money to political and cultural pressure groups. But then I realized the right was correct, there is a vast group assembled against their interests and ambitions. It’s called Western Civilization.

When these right wingers bitch and fletch about people disparaging them what they are really saying is they can’t get their way because there are these institutions and people in their way. Who are those people and institutions? Let me make up a label to throw on them. Just pulling it out of the air mind you, let’s call them Rational people and they are supported by institutes of higher learning, scientists, and anyone with a real education and any knowledge. This is not to say that folks on the right are uneducated heathens. No, they’ve been educated, but somewhere along the way something happened.

Years ago I had a friend who wanted to read I-Ching cards. Okay, that sounded like fun. Let’s do it. But it wasn’t fun. She believed whatever it was that could be interpreted from a random throwing  down of these thick paper nicely illustrated cards. 

I’ve told the story of the woman who said her friend had her palm read. I said, “I can read palms!” She thrust her hand out. My desire was not to read her palm, but the best I would get was to hold the back of her hand. I said things I overheard when I had been around palm readings. I told her about her money-line, and the number of crinkles on the edge of her palm indicated the number of children she was going to have. I started to laugh because it was so ridiculous. She looked up – very seriously, and said, “Go on.” And looked back down at her palm. 

I know I’ve told these stories before. The palm reading one ends with my staring at the top of her downturned head, and my concluding that shooting fish in a barrel was not a good idea, nor something I wanted to do in the future.

I am amazed from time to time, how someone who I’ve known for a period of time then reveals a really bat shit crazy side of themselves. Maybe, it’s a belief in something they have heard from somebody, somewhere, they can’t remember exactly. It doesn’t matter where they heard it. It matters that they believe it. “You know that’s crazy right?” “Well, yes, but maybe it’s true. Or at least part of it? Don’t you think?” (Yes, I think. You don’t. You worry. You work yourself up into a tizzy over something that is patently false and has no basis in fact, but please – go on.)

PS Dat am one big linga!

Filed Under: Trump

Day 1230 – A New Day, A New Realization

June 2, 2020 by Rick Kinnaird 1 Comment

Day 1230 – A New Day, A New Realization

Monday June 1, 2020 

153 Days until the election on November 3rd

233 Days until the Inauguration on January 20, 2021

Actors at Angkor Wat in traditional Khmer dress
We Are Ready to Help

My conservative friend and I have agreed that continuing our discussion seems to be fruitless. The very things I think she is guilty of doing she accuses me of doing. She wants to know my viewpoint on something. I tell her, and she dismisses it. She makes broad statements about liberals, Democrats, and progressives. Those statement aren’t backed up. They are more “feelings” in the sense of vague observations. If I ask for specifics she says there are plenty around, and doesn’t provide any. Sometimes she has referred to a wacky right wing site. She thinks Prager and his site PragerU have lots of good information. I think it is a right wing site to spread disinformation. Clearly, we can’t agree on the basics.

I mentioned the plight of the poor in this country. Her response was there are always poor people. As if that solved the problem.

It’s exhausting for me, and I’ve determined it’s not worth my time. I know, some of you will say, “told you so.” I’m sure her right wing friends are saying the same about me to her.

It’s hard to have a discussion when you can’t agree on the basics.

I think we should do something about the gap between rich and poor in this country. She wants to know if I believe in a 90% tax rate and would I want to be taxed at that rate. Additionally, she wants to know if I support limiting how much money a person can make. These are “when did you stop beating your wife?” type questions. 

The 90% tax rate question makes it sound like one would support all their income being taxed at 90%. No one would be for that. However, a progressive tax system is a series of steps. At each step of rising income you would pay more tax. It might be that at a very high level a system could put a very high percentage of taxation on income. If that upper end rate should be 90% I don’t know. But the rich want to focus on that because it would really affect them. 

There’s Robert Mercer and his daughter Rebekah. He’s made tons of money by hooking a server up as close as possible to the real stock market trading server. He has algorithms that allow him to trade stocks on the slight differences between buy and sell prices. This is called arbitrage and a smart person looking at the data can figure out how to make a guaranteed profit. This is based on the work of Edwin O. Thorp who wrote “Beat the Dealer,” wherein he described his strategy for winning at the game of twenty-one. After getting kicked out of every casino in Las Vegas and Reno he went on to make tons of money in the stock market with similar math strategies. 

Mercer is a newer slicker version. A congressman in Oregon found himself running against a nutty guy who had the idea about drinking your own urine or something like that. That fellow’s thoughts included stuff about electricity and magnetism too. Seemed kind of turn of the Twentieth Century when folks didn’t really understand it and the county fairs had places where you could pinch your fingers on a block that the huckster would crank up and give you a shock. All of a sudden that guy had a huge bunch of cash. The Congressman was in trouble. He couldn’t compete dollar for dollar. What was going on? Turned out Robert Mercer had given urine man a lot of money. Why? Was it that he believed in this fellow’s thoughts about urine and electricity? Naw. 

Mercer gave the money because he wanted to see the Congressman defeated because that Congressman had the audacity to suggest that stock trades be taxed. If you’re Robert Mercer and you make millions of trades a year, that could cost you money. So much for ethics of the right wing Mercers. 

If you’ve read Democracy in Chains you know that the objective of the really rich, like the Mercers and the Kochs is not to improve mankind or anything like that. It’s to keep as much money as possible. The way to do that is to have power. Period. Full Stop.

The fact that they support buffoons, nut jobs, and religious quacks is all fine with them as long as those people can be manipulated to do their bidding. In this regard their tactics and Putin’s are the same.

Then we get to the tough guy stance of someone like Bolsonaro, the President of Brazil. He talks tough, real tough. He tells everyone he’s going to fix things and he’s not taking any crap from anyone. Then along comes the pandemic and what does he do? Talks tough, ignores the reality. Why? It doen’t fit his machismo image, hence it can’t exist. People die. So what?

I wasn’t making sense of all this until I ran across an old article that mentioned my dad. My father worked at Yerkes Observatory while a grad student at Northwestern. Yerkes was the largest telescope in the world at that time. It was owned by the University of Chicago. Dad worked for a Dr. Lee, who was associated with Dearborn Observatory. It was during his time there that Dad laid out the grid for finding and identifying stars. Dr. Lee apparently was interested in classifying red giants and other stars. The person writing the article said those working for Lee knew most of what he wanted done was garbage, but he let them alone to pursue other things provided they did the classification stuff he wanted done.

This guy decided to study the craters of the Moon. At the time the given hypothesis was that the craters were caused by volcanic activity. He thought otherwise. He thought they were caused by impacts. At the time, the 1940s the common thinking was that the craters on the Moon were caused by volcanic activity. No one was studying the Moon, because it was common knowledge and nothing more could be gleaned from looking more. This left the field open to this one man for twenty years.

When he presented his initial findings to a group that included many of the top astronomers of the day, he couldn’t get any interest. They flat out, by and large, didn’t believe him. Why? Well, the simple explanation is that at that time everyone knew that the craters were caused by volcanoes, not meteors. 

He tried to get people to look at his evidence. Just look! It’s right there. Nope. Sorry.

He thought about Galileo. Galileo was famous for the trial he was put on by the Roman Catholic Church for heresy, because of what he said about the movement of the planets. It is reputed that after being found guilty and walking out of the courtroom he said, “It still moves.” Btw that quote has been questioned as to its veracity. AT one point Galileo tried to get one of the cardinals to look through his telescope. The guy wouldn’t do it. Why? He was afraid of what he might see.  

But the story my faces-of-the-moon friend told was about Galileo looking at Saturn. He looked at Saturn and saw three spheres. He didn’t see the rings. How could that be my friend asked. The answer came to him. The human brain got in the way. Rather than seeing what was there, the brain saw what it thought should be there.

History is replete with examples of people ignoring the facts for long periods. Looking back, one is left to wonder, “Why did it take so long?”

People tend to be more tribal than rationale. It’s really that simple. There’s a saying in the computer business. “Why do we do it that way? Because that’s the way we’ve always done it.”

Elon Musk said something very interesting during the launch of the SpaceX rocket. He said that technology does not progress on its own. It takes a dedicated and focused team willing to work hard to accomplish a goal.

153 Days until the election on November 3rd

233 Days until the Inauguration on January 20, 2021

PS My team of dedicated individuals.

Filed Under: Trump, Uncategorized

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Rick Kinnaird
I’m Rick Kinnaird, a writer of fictional adventure and travel. That means I write stories about things that never happened in places I’ve never been. This way facts don’t get in the way.

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